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China, EU & the United States: Holy Trinity or Ménage à Trois?Posted by Editors in Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, July 12. 2008 Stanley Crossick, a "European of British nationality," has published an essay which argues that a strong trilateral relationship, reinforced by three strong bilateral relationships is essential. He wrote a short version for Atlantic Review:
Since the end of the Cold War, a bi-polar world has become mono-polar but may be in the process of being transformed into a multi-polar world or, preferably, a multilateral one. Globalisation and rapid scientific and technological advancements are drastically transforming international relations. Although political ideology is no longer a driving force, it takes a generation or two to eliminate recent dogma, prejudices and perceptions. Regional cooperation and development have become important factors.
The China-US, China-Europe and US-Europe relationships are arguably the three most important geopolitical and economic relationships in the world. This does not mean that Russia, Japan, India or Brazil should be ignored, as well as other rising powers in Asia and South America. The world faces more major common challenges than ever before. China, the US and the EU are together responsible for one-third of the world's population, over three-quarters of the world economy, over 90% of total military expenditure and four of the five permanent seats on the UN Security Council. Sadly, however, there remains a vast lacuna in the knowledge and mutual understanding between the Chinese and Westerners and still surprisingly too great between Americans and Europeans. China, the US and the EU have very considerable influence. Apart, conflicting influences are very damaging. We live in an increasingly dangerous world and it is critically important for all three therefore to act as responsible stakeholders, if we are to secure a more stable and peaceful world, and set an example to others.
Here are some reasons why we need a trilateral relationship:
What a trilateral relationship cannot achieve:
What a trilateral relationship can achieve:
The successful development of China is in the global interest. A failed China would have frightening consequences. It is essential, therefore, that there be a strong trilateral relationship, reinforced by three strong bilateral relationships. From time to time there should be trilateral meetings as there are in fact three sets of bilateral working groups that address more or less the same issues, beginning with the Transatlantic Economic Council, the High Level EU-PRC Economic & Trade Dialogue and the US-China Strategic Economic Dialogue. Stanley Crossick is a political analyst and media commentator on EU internal and external policies, with special expertise on China. He blogs at blogactiv. More about his bio. Welcome! You are reading the ATLANTIC REVIEW -- a Press Digest on Transatlantic Relations combined with commentary and analysis by three young professionals from Germany, the Netherlands and the United States. More about us. The horizontal menu bar at the top helps to navigate this site. Subscribe to one of our RSS-Feeds or to our newsletter, which is emailed twice per month.Trackbacks
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Zyme
- #1 - 2008-07-12 16:45 -
This is all well and good - and while I agree that these are the three key players in the 21st century, did nobody else have to think about George Orwell´s 1984 when reading this one? Comments (5)
Joe Noory
- #1.1 - 2008-07-14 15:51 -
The EU has yet to demonstrate that it's a key player in any other area than is lent to it by their economic scale as a buyer and seller of goods. Comments (3)
Kevin Sampson
- #2 - 2008-07-13 15:52 -
Blah, blah, blah. I’m still waiting for a list of all those ‘large-scale military interventions’ we indulged in from 1989 to 2001. Comments (3)
Anonymous
- #2.1 - 2008-07-13 16:22 -
It is all relative. Comment (1)
Kevin Sampson
- #2.1.1 - 2008-07-15 01:38 -
“And compared to Europe's military operations (Congo, Lebanon etc), the US led military operations in Somalia, Bosnia, Kosovo, Haiti are pretty big.” Comments (3)
Pamela
- #3 - 2008-07-13 20:44 -
What, no Russia - the energy supplier for the EU? Comments (5)
Zyme
- #3.1 - 2008-07-13 22:43 -
Who would not cut them, after such a provocating Czechian support for the former arch-enemy of Russia.. Comments (5)
Pat Patterson
- #3.1.1 - 2008-07-14 00:03 -
Cuba had already signed an oil deal with Russia in 1960 which was barely 12 months after Castro had seized power. The US and the OAS ordered all its members refineries to not process Russian crude and then Castro expropriated all refineries and nationalized the entire oil industry. Comments (10)
Zyme
- #3.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 07:02 -
You know, reducing oil delieveries is also not the same thing as a complete embargo. Comments (5)
Pat Patterson
- #3.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 08:24 -
Are you saying that Russia did not break its contracts to the Czechs? Plus I didn't even try to equate the two different episodes merely pointed out that the premise of similarity was not historically accurate thus negating any comparison between the two. Comments (10)
Zyme
- #3.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 13:53 -
My comparison is valid. It is only the quantity that differs, not the quality - and this way it is with the provocation and the reaction in both cases. Comments (5)
Pat Patterson
- #3.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 16:56 -
How can that be when you had the chronology, the cause and effect, off by two years? Plus the US did not cut off oil supplies the Cubans chose to buy subsidised oil from Russia? How then could the US embargo deliveries of something the Cubans were already getting from someplace else? Comments (10)
Zyme
- #3.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 18:45 -
Ha - the Czechs are free to get their oil somewhere else. In fact I read they now have increased their demand from Ingolstadt in Germany - what an irony. Comments (5)
franchie
- #3.2 - 2008-07-14 12:52 -
isn't it also that Russia has a real problem of "reserves" ? Comments (12)
Pamela
- #3.2.1 - 2008-07-14 14:44 -
Russia keeps its reserves estimate as a state secret. However, their production has declined, a development they blame on aging infrastructure. Comments (5)
Joe Noory
- #3.2.2 - 2008-07-14 16:31 -
The website you're pointing to is a product of unserious adolescent rage about "evil corporations", "evil capitalism", the "evil that we always are", etc. Comments (3)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1 - 2008-07-14 16:42 -
"The website you're pointing to is a product of unserious adolescent rage about "evil corporations", "evil capitalism", the "evil that we always are", etc." Comments (12)
Joe Noory
- #3.2.2.1.1 - 2008-07-14 19:13 -
I don't pretend to be a newspaper. As for the iran-resist article: IT'S AN OPINION. It's also insane. Sarko was talking about the Med Union during the election, and any opinions he had BEFORE 2000 about negotiating with Iran were no different than any other person in French politics. Comments (3)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 19:37 -
Plus France's dawning realization that the German horse has been gelded and put out to pasture with Ferdinand! I would hope someday that France might see the benefit of trying to manipulate American power rather than trying to conjure up some ghostly army ready to counter every US move. Comments (10)
Pamela
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 19:56 -
"rather than trying to conjure up some ghostly army ready to counter every US move." Comments (5)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 21:32 -
Is that a mistranslation and the intent is simply to have 60,000 new military planners in Brussels ready to raise an army of hundreds at a moments notice? Comments (10)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-14 22:35 -
see ya what your buddy Obama is planning for your pupils Comments (12)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-15 00:48 -
Seriously, do you have a pathological desire to only link to the websites of the unbalanced of either the right or left? There are literally hundreds of websites, of the right and left, that discuss defense issues rationally. Their differences are usually in the interpretation of the facts and not in the kind or deranged intercourse that assumes blathering on about conspiracies, spaceships, Islamic presidential candidates in the US or ZOG is a substitute for rebuttal when faced with contradiction. Comments (10)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-15 01:35 -
it doesn't disturb you to agree to the links or discourses of your budy joe, so, sily game to silly game, is that fair ? Comments (12)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-15 04:20 -
And what links might those be that you claim Joe N. or I have used? Near as I can tell on this thread you are the only one providing links to some residents of Bedlam as if they were a rational source of information. Comments (10)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-15 12:16 -
wrong, Reza Pahlavi denonced the iranian lobbies (that also promote Mariam Satrapi the cartoonist) and have their open think tanks in the US, that are also infiltrated mullah agents Comments (12)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-15 14:13 -
Many of the articles in Iran-resist are in English and I must admit that my French is not that bad in reading screeds but generally not adequate for technical articles. Note I did not say that the only group Reza Pahlavi had criticized was Iran-resist but that was the topic at hand not whether Marjane Satrapi was still a communist like her parents. Comments (10)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-07-15 14:39 -
I am not an english speaker, and still not a good english writer, though since I go on english speaking sites, I made big improvements in my expression, so you may need some "patience" when you have to read my comments. Comments (12)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.2 - 2008-07-15 19:26 -
http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Read.aspx?GUID=5CD288B3-1F01-4872-9604-EBF31F5100DC Comments (12)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.2 - 2008-07-14 22:39 -
Pamela, pas bien, ça, de se moquer de la future armée europeenne, qui n'a d'existence que dans le creux de ton cerveau Comments (12)
Pamela
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.2.1 - 2008-07-15 16:04 -
Vous illustrez la courtoisie légendaire du français Comments (5)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.2.1.1 - 2008-07-15 18:55 -
et vous, la légendaire "bonne foi" anglo-saxonne Comments (12)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.3 - 2008-07-15 04:38 -
Pamela-I checked Open Europe a few minutes ago and found the article in a pdf file. Comments (10)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.3.1 - 2008-07-15 12:51 -
http://euobserver.com/13/26107 Comments (12)
Pat Patterson
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.3.1.1 - 2008-07-15 14:28 -
The article you referred to doesn't say anything about what size army is needed for modern warfare in fact it doesn't say much of anything about an actual army. But rather appears to be some of the first steps in creating a working realtionship between the armies and the foreign policy establishments of those countries willing to get involved. Comments (10)
Pamela
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.3.2 - 2008-07-15 16:29 -
Oh excellent find, THANK YOU!! Comments (5)
franchie
- #3.2.2.1.1.1.1.3.2.1 - 2008-07-15 17:51 -
and do you also read pôve_corn.com ? a great deal for you Comments (12)
franchie
- #4 - 2008-07-14 22:07 -
Ok there we go again ! Comments (12)
Stanley Crossick
- #5 - 2008-07-16 23:19 -
Joe: I agree that the EU has not got its external policy act together outside trade. Comment (1)
Kevin Sampson
- #5.1 - 2008-07-17 00:22 -
'Afghanistan (NATO), Bosnia (NATO), Djibouti (6 terrorists killed by a Hellfire, you call that a “large scale military intervention?), Haiti (UN), Iraq twice (first time UN), Kosovo (UN), Panama, Serbia (?, when?), Somalia (UN) - that's 10' Comments (3)
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