Monday, July 18. 2011
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
German Politics, International Economics on Monday, July 18. 2011
Former Chancellor Helmut Schmidt is the only elder statesmen who constantly smokes cigarettes on TV and sometimes uses the term "shit" as a description. He gets away with it because of his huge popularity. His outspoken manner and lack of concern for political correctness also reinforces his popularity, especially at a time, when Germany is governed by uncharismatic politicians, who lack vision and do not even make much of an effort explaining their policies (link in German).
Schmidt has used the term "shit" repeatedly when talking about the World War II. Last week, however, he used the term (for the first time?) to describe the financial crisis.
Continue reading "Outspoken Helmut Schmidt"
Monday, April 25. 2011
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Monday, April 25. 2011
"Standard & Poor's warning the United States could lose its AAA rating may ultimately bring investment to Germany, reduce interest rates on its bonds and help the country lower its own debt," writes Deutsche Welle:
"Standard & Poor's reassessed US sovereign debt and decided to put it on negative watch for the first time, meaning there is one-in-three chance the ratings agency will downgrade the country's hitherto cast-iron AAA credit rating in the next two years. "Germany wins in this equation because it gets a dividend through stability," said Clemens Fuest, a member of the German finance ministry's technical advisory committee. "Interest rates will be pressed down as a result." Germany maintains a secure AAA rating, pays less for a 10-year bond than the United States, and has a constitutionally-mandated 'debt brake.' In Europe, German bonds, known as bunds, have long been the benchmark for investors. (...)
Continue reading "Germany to Benefit from Lower US Credit Rating"
Thursday, February 10. 2011
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
European Issues, International Economics on Thursday, February 10. 2011
The New York Times (via ACUS) describes a joint proposal from German Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy to the EU leaders as a "German diktat." That's the first weird assessment in this Germany bashing editorial. Here are three more: Mrs. Merkel wants all 17 countries that use the euro to fall in line with German ideas of fiscal austerity in return for limited additional financial support for countries in trouble. She expects them to run deficits no higher than Germany's (3.5 percent of G.D.P.), allow retirement no earlier than Germany (age 67), and raise or lower their tax rates as required to match Germany's. a) Has the NYT forgotten what the EU agreed on two decades ago? According to the Maastricht Treaty of 1992 deficits should be below 3 percent and debt below 60 percent of GDP. Most countries broke the rules. For some this caused more serious economic problems than for others. Now Germany is asked to help them.
Continue reading "NYT Criticizes German Leadership"
Tuesday, February 1. 2011
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
International Economics on Tuesday, February 1. 2011
Social Mobility is an issue that comes up time and again in the comments section of Atlantic Review and other blogs. Why? Because fairness and equal opportunities are so important to the US and European self-image. Or in the words of the researcher of the London School of Economics: "The level of intergenerational mobility in society is seen by many as a measure of the extent of equality of economic and social opportunity."
In 2005 they published these "disturbing findings" (HT: Influx):
A careful comparison reveals that the USA and Britain are at the bottom with the lowest social mobility. Norway has the greatest social mobility, followed by Denmark, Sweden and Finland. Germany is around the middle of the two extremes, and Canada was found to be much more mobile than the UK. Comparing surveys of children born in the 1950s and the 1970s, the researchers went on to examine the reason for Britain's low, and declining, mobility. They found that it is in part due to the strong and increasing relationship between family income and educational attainment.
My guess is social mobility declined in many countries in the five years since the publication of the survey. Fortunately, the situation is still better than in North Africa. The lack of social mobility was the key factor in the protests/revolution.
Thursday, January 13. 2011
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
European Issues, International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, January 13. 2011
Atlantic Community:
EU countries mired in debt are getting help from an unlikely source: China. The ascendant superpower is buying up large amounts of European bonds and investing heavily in euro zone countries. Moreover, there is talk of a reversal of the long standing EU arms embargo on China. Is this all a coincidence?
Kurt Volker, a former U.S. ambassador to NATO and now managing director at Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University commented: "If all this were to play out - that is, lifting the embargo, subsequent sanctions, etc. - it would be a new low point in U.S.-E.U. relations." (HT: NATO Source)
I agree. I hope the EU does not lift the arms embargo. In my opinion NATO countries should not sell any arms to non-NATO members.
Tuesday, January 11. 2011
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
International Economics, US Domestic and Cultural Issues on Tuesday, January 11. 2011
Conventional wisdom used to be that Europeans envy the rich, while Americans hope to emulate them. Now, Americans are increasingly concerned about rising inequality and the influence of the tiny elite of the super rich.
Plutocracy is a very popular topic of discussion in the US media at the moment. I am quite surprised.
It can't be a coincidence that even mainstream and center-right publications like Foreign Affairs, The American Interest and The Atlantic write about it extensively right now:
Continue reading "Plutocracy: US Media Concerned about the Political Influence of the Super Rich"
Wednesday, December 22. 2010
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
European Issues, International Economics on Wednesday, December 22. 2010
What? John Bolton, a former US ambassador to the UN, says that Europeans have to save the Euro crisis? No way! Uncle Sam has to solve all our problems. We Euro weenies are just kids.
Okay, I get it. It's just a New York Post headline. But still. The premise behind the headline is.puzzling.
So what is John Bolton saying exactly:
As the euro encounters even graver difficulties, America should resist the temptation to save the EU from itself. We must avoid propping it up directly through loans or financial assistance or indirectly through the International Monetary Fund.
"Temptation"? Seriously? Given all the short- and long-term US financial problems, are Americans really tempted to "save the EU from itself"?
I am not an IMF expert, but is not the fund's purpose to help member states, who are in trouble, but have a plan to bring their finances in order? The EU is not a member, but Greece, Ireland, Spain are members. As sovereign countries they can ask for support. The IMF should grant the support, especially if it is in the interest of the world economy. The IMF's purpose is neither to promote the Euro nor to defend the US-dollar as the world's leading reserve currency. A few years ago, pundits debated whether the IMF is obsolete.
Since the US is the biggest contributor to the IMF, it also gets to influence a country's recovery policies, which is one of the reasons, why some Europeans (France?) used to be against IMF involvement in the Euro crisis.
I agree with Bolton's conclusion, which is just common sense and therefore boring and waste of ink: "We should worry about President Obama's staggering deficit spending and let Europe worry about its own."
Tuesday, November 23. 2010
Posted by Joerg Wolf in
International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Tuesday, November 23. 2010
From a Washington Post editorial:
ABOUT TWO weeks ago, Germany's finance minister described U.S. economic policy as "clueless." We don't want to sound childish, but after yet another bailout for an insolvent European country - about $137 billion for Ireland - we are inclined to ask: If the United States is clueless, what does that make Germany? The de facto leader of the crisis-ridden, 16-nation eurozone, Berlin has not performed its role brilliantly over the past year.
A good defense of German policy against US criticism of its "export-led growth model" can be found on Atlantic Community: Stop Lecturing and Do Your Homework, America!
Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff: America's argument about the Chinese currency manipulation may be valid but it is also a distraction. It is America's own lack of competitiveness that is hurting the US more than anything. America will be able to revive the credibility of its global economic leadership only when it stops blaming its democratic peers and instead starts doing its homework.
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