Monday, August 29. 2011Libya Exposes ContradictionsPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Monday, August 29. 2011 James Joyner of the Atlantic Council has a great op-ed on Libya:
Continue reading "Libya Exposes Contradictions" Saturday, June 11. 2011Neocons and Liberal Interventionists vs. the Debt Crisis and the RealistsPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, June 11. 2011 Secretary Gates apparently said today that European countries should increase their defense spending, because the United States has a debt problem and is not willing anymore to pay for Europe's defense. Well, one of many reasons the US has such huge debt is the enormous defense budget, which is so much higher than those from other major powers. European nations are not spending more on defense, because we have debt problems as well and can't afford the US debt levels, because we cannot print dollars. Besides, the US has not spent a fortune in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya to protect Europe, but because of its own perceived self-interests. Thus I take issues with these statements by Secretary Gates as reported by the BBC: Continue reading "Neocons and Liberal Interventionists vs. the Debt Crisis and the Realists" Thursday, January 13. 2011Europe and China: Weapons for Investment?Posted by Joerg Wolf in European Issues, International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, January 13. 2011
Kurt Volker, a former U.S. ambassador to NATO and now managing director at Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University commented: "If all this were to play out - that is, lifting the embargo, subsequent sanctions, etc. - it would be a new low point in U.S.-E.U. relations." (HT: NATO Source) I agree. I hope the EU does not lift the arms embargo. In my opinion NATO countries should not sell any arms to non-NATO members.
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Defined tags for this entry: AC, Bailout, China, Debt, Defense, deficit, Economics, European Union, Moral Values, Strategy
Thursday, September 23. 2010Survey Finds NATO Remains Popular in the USPosted by Kyle Atwell in US Foreign Policy on Thursday, September 23. 2010
Given waning support for the Afghanistan mission, a sentiment among many Americans that the US is putting far more relatively into both Iraq and Afghanistan than it's partners, and regular arguments from media pundits that NATO no longer has relevance in a post-Cold War world -- I was surprised to read this in The Chicago Council on Global Affairs' 2010 national survey of public opinion on foreign policy:
Americans... continue to show support for involvement in NATO, one of America’s most enduring military alliances. Only 13 percent favor decreasing the U.S. commitment—essentially unchanged from 2004. Sixty-six percent (66%) favor keeping the current U.S. commitment to NATO “what it is now,” while 10 percent would like to increase it (down 4 points from 2004). (p.15)The report is titled Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities. Overall, the 83-page survey finds that American's still support a strong international role for US foreign policy, including militarily. The following excerpt comes from the introduction to chapter one, titled "Reevaluating Priorities across a Changing Global Landscape": With a painfully slow recovery, persistently high unemployment, and diminished tax revenues, the United States has fewer resources to direct toward international efforts. Wednesday, August 25. 2010U.S. Generals Indicate No Quick Withdrawal from AfghanistanPosted by Kyle Atwell in Transatlantic Relations on Wednesday, August 25. 2010
Recent statements from top U.S. generals are dashing hopes in the US and among European Allies that the war in Afghanistan will wind down in the next year, despite President Obama's stated intentions to begin troop reductions in July 2011.
Consider comments from the top U.S. Marine in Afghanistan, General James Conway, reported by Daily Times: In recent months, US officials have played down expectations of any large withdrawal of troops in July 2011. Conway echoed those sentiments, saying he believed Marines would remain in the south for years. He said that Afghan forces would not be ready to take over security from US troops in key southern provinces for at least a few years.Further statements by General David Petraeus regarding the Afghanistan drawdown make it clear that the July 2011 date does not signal a hard end of the war, writes GlobalSecurity.org: Petraeus also repeated his view that the drawdown in U.S. and NATO forces, scheduled to begin in July 2011, will not result in a swift withdrawal.General Petraeus discusses the July 2011 drawdown in a video interview with the BBC, found here. In the article "Why Europe Fears Petraeus's Urge to Surge", Financial Times argues that European leaders not only desire a more expedient withdrawal from Afghanistan, but also want to pursue a different strategy for ending the conflict based on negotiations with the Taliban: In discussions with European generals, diplomats and officials – each involved in their government’s Afghan policy – a common fear emerges. That US president Barack Obama will not be able to refuse demands from Gen Petraeus to extend the surge well beyond July 2011; that the general will continue to push for a continuation of military strategy; and that he will decline any suggestion of opening negotiations with the Taliban – something that many Europeans are very keen on. Monday, July 26. 2010Thousands of Classified Reports on the Afghanistan War LeakedPosted by Kyle Atwell in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Monday, July 26. 2010
An extensive series of previously classified reports on the Afghanistan war effort titled the Afghan War Diary (AWD) has been made public by the website WikiLeaks.
The NYT, Guardian and Der Spiegel were leaked the reports several weeks ago. Each has spent the past month analyzing the reports and writing articles with their key deductions. According to the New York Times editors' note: The articles published today are based on thousands of United States military incident and intelligence reports — records of engagements, mishaps, intelligence on enemy activity and other events from the war in Afghanistan — that were made public on Sunday on the Internet. The New York Times, The Guardian newspaper in London, and the German magazine Der Spiegel were given access to the material several weeks ago. These reports are used by desk officers in the Pentagon and troops in the field when they make operational plans and prepare briefings on the situation in the war zone. Most of the reports are routine, even mundane, but many add insights, texture and context to a war that has been waged for nearly nine years.The NYT, Guardian and Der Spiegel have all vetted the reports and come to the conclusion that the material is authentic. You can download the full set of reports from the WikiLeaks website, here. New York Times coverage is found here. Guardian coverage here. Der Spiegel coverage here. Sunday, July 11. 2010"Let's Cut Defense Spending"Posted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Sunday, July 11. 2010 Strange world: Atlantic Review is not just as a reference in an MA thesis, but is also referenced by E.D. Kain of the neoconservative (?) National Review Online to make the argument that the US should cut defense spending. He is linking to our blog in this paragraph:
I disagree. I bet that Germany will not increase defense spending, if the US closes another military base. Previous closures did not lead to increase either. Many Americans like to think that US military bases abroad are protecting the host countries, while majorities (?) in the host countries see the bases as serving primarily US interests. Whatever the US does, German defense spending declines for domestic reasons. Last week, the German legislative even voted to shorten military service down to six months for budgetary reasons. To me that sounds more like a military internship than part of national defense. Quite a few politicians want to maintain the military service since it supports recruitment for professional soldiers. In the 60s and early 70s the military service was three times as long as it is today. An interesting statistic that the National Review Online author did not get from us: "Each troop we send to Afghanistan costs the public $1 million per year. That's $1 million siphoned out of the U.S. economy and shipped overseas to the mountains of Afghanistan and the Iraqi deserts." Aha! Since this is the National Review I am tempted to ask the author whether the economy is more important than security? They seem to be moving towards the European position on war versus economy. Is America becoming a post-heroic society just like Europe, this was actually the topic of the blogpost to be referenced in an MA thesis. Thursday, May 20. 2010NATO's NichePosted by Andrew Zvirzdin in Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, May 20. 2010
How will a military alliance continue to function if many of its members are opposed to armed interventions and if modern security threats have moved beyond concerns over territorial integrity?
Answer: Turn the military alliance into something completely different. That at least seems to be the conclusion of the group of experts tasked with creating a draft of NATO's new strategic concept. Their findings, released this week, envision a NATO defined by a host of new responsibilities from multilateral weapons procurement to cyber defenses to expeditionary actions. In her presentation as the group's chairperson, Madeleine Albright said "NATO is more than a military alliance; it is also a political community." I would agree with Albright's perspective on NATO. Since NATO's efforts in the 1990s to encourage democratization in Eastern Europe, the alliance has assumed greater responsibilities in political, economic, and security fields. NATO's scope has certainly expanded beyond preserving the territorial integrity of its members, though this remains a central aspect of the organization's DNA. In this sense, the group of experts are merely highlighting what is already the case: NATO is no longer simply a defensive alliance. But what is NATO exactly? If not a military alliance, then what? Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen has said that NATO should become the "the forum for consultation on global security." Secretary Albright sees the alliance developing "partnerships" with key countries, with Russia on the top of that list. And some EU leaders simply hope that NATO can act to help member states streamline military expenditures and reduce redundancies. I believe NATO must be careful to not try to be everything to everyone. It must seek to focus only on those areas where it can provide real added value to its members states and the international community. What do you think? What is NATO's niche in the international community? How should the forthcoming strategic concept envision the future of NATO?
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