Wednesday, September 19. 2007Ret. U.S. General Would Accept a Nuclear-Armed IranPosted by Joerg Wolf in Quotes, US Domestic and Cultural Issues, US Foreign Policy on Wednesday, September 19. 2007 John Abizaid, the retired Army general who headed Central Command for nearly four years, said according to Yahoo! News: "I believe that we have the power to deter Iran, should it become nuclear," he said, referring to the theory that Iran would not risk a catastrophic retaliatory strike by using a nuclear weapon against the United States. "There are ways to live with a nuclear Iran," Abizaid said in remarks at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a think tank. "Let's face it, we lived with a nuclear Soviet Union, we've lived with a nuclear China, and we're living with (other) nuclear powers as well."Totally unrelated: Gainesville Sun reports about a shrewed journalism student and the incompetent and brutal security service at the University of Florida. Many US universities are better than German universities, but here students don't get tasered, not even obnoxious self-promoters. Friday, September 14. 2007FOX News: German Government Would Welcome US Bombing of IranPosted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, Transatlantic Relations on Friday, September 14. 2007 James Rosen starts his FOX News article with: "A recent decision by German officials to withhold support for any new sanctions against Iran has pushed a broad spectrum of officials in Washington to develop potential scenarios for a military attack on the Islamic regime, FOX News confirmed Tuesday." Rosen claims to have obtained some highly sensitive information from a meeting in Berlin of German officials with the Iran desk officers from the five member states of the Security Council: The Germans voiced concern about the damaging effects any further sanctions on Iran would have on the German economy and also, according to diplomats from other countries, gave the distinct impression that they would privately welcome, while publicly protesting, an American bombing campaign against Iran's nuclear facilities.So... the German economy would suffer from further sanctions against Iran, but not from a war with Iran? That's the logic of Faux News... See the full article at FOX News (via: tapmag). UPDATE: Perhaps one reason, why Fox News beats the drums of war, can be found in a United Press International article: "Faced with U.S. economic sanctions and a weak dollar, Tehran is demanding foreign energy companies do business in yen and euros, despite increasingly desperate need for investment. In a deal announced last week, Japans Nippon Oil agreed to buy oil from Iran using yen instead of the traditional U.S. dollars." And I thought Japan was such a close US ally. UPPERDATE: Regarding the plausibility of the information provided by Fox News, check out Detlef's comment. Tuesday, September 11. 2007Air Force Incompetence: Oops, What Are These Nukes Doing Here?Posted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, September 11. 2007 On the eve of the anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff told Congress according to NTI: "We recognize that our first and most urgent priority is to prevent nuclear weapons from coming into this country and preventing dirty bombs from being constructed and detonated." Eric Hundman writes about "America's loose nukes" in FP Passport: "Last week, the Pentagon admitted that a B-52 had mistakenly flown nuclear-armed cruise missiles across the United States. And worse, for almost fourteen hours no one at the base of departure, on the bomber itself, or at the base of arrival had any idea something was wrong." North Dakota News adds: "The airmen who first discovered the bombs could not believe what they were seeing and had a hard time convincing superiors that the missiles on the bomber were, in fact, carrying nuclear weapons." Personal conclusion: Neither this kind of White House humor (if the story in the biography is true) nor the air force's screw up is encouraging. In less open societies than the US, such nuclear screw ups would not become public: I wonder how many of these incidents happen in Russia, China, India, Pakistan or Israel... Will the movie Broken Arrow be reality one day? Related: "America, stop waving the nuclear threat at potential adversaries," says Jack Mendelsohn, who was a US State Department official and a member of the US SALT and START delegations. Writing for the Christian Science Monitor, he criticizes that "four Republican candidates Mitt Romney, Duncan Hunter, Jim Gilmore, and Rudy Giuliani have already expressed their willingness to use 'tactical' nuclear weapons against Iran to prevent it from obtaining nuclear weapons." He argues: Every time the United States threatens a potential adversary with nuclear weapons it tells the world that these weapons are acceptable instruments of modern warfare and that there are no political or moral constraints on US behavior. It is overwhelmingly in the US national interest to preserve the "taboo" on nuclear weapons use and to seek to reduce the salience of nuclear weapons in US security policy. Iranian TV Airs Jewish-Muslim Love StoryPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Domestic and Cultural Issues on Tuesday, September 11. 2007
"The wildly popular show is a heart-wrenching tale of European Jews during World War II," writes Farnaz Fassihi in the Wall Street Journal:
The hour-long drama, "Zero Degree Turn," centers on a love story between an Iranian-Palestinian Muslim man and a French Jewish woman. Over the course of the 22 episodes, the hero saves his love from Nazi detention camps, and Iranian diplomats in France forge passports for the woman and her family to sneak on to airplanes carrying Iranian Jews to their homeland. (...)Wow, I did not expect this from Murdoch's Wall Street Journal to be honest. Meanwhile, The Heathlander shows US cartoons "demonising Iran." Tuesday, July 31. 2007Reductions of US Troops in Europe Could Impede US OperationsPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, July 31. 2007
"Some American defense officials are reconsidering a plan to cut the troop force in Europe in half," writes Gordon Lubold in the Christian Science Monitor (HT: Marian) on April 24, 2007. The main reason for the criticism of the planned troop reductions is that roughly 75 percent of the US force in Europe is either deployed to Afghanistan or Iraq, is about to go, or just returned and both wars are expected to take longer. This means:
Many senior defense officials are concerned that the plan to cut by nearly half the number of forces in Europe could make it difficult to support American interests in the European theater. The troop reductions, they say, go too far.Personal comments: Is "building partner nation capacities" still in the US interest, since many European partners do not want to commit that many troops to US led wars? Isn't that the (correct) perception of more and more Americans? See the debates on Afghanistan for instance. Anyway, I think it is interesting that it's US defense officials, who are voicing their opposition to the troop reduction plans. German officials are not lamenting the troop reductions, except for local city governments who lose revenue. Most Germans would not mind if all US troops would continue to stay here. The troops are welcome, but not US nukes. I think it is fair to say that most Germans are not concerned that they will be attacked as a consequence of a US troop withdrawal. The US troops based in Germany are not seen as the big brother that protects us poor Germans, as some US bloggers like to pretend. What some folks apparently don't understand: US troops are in Europe to serve US interests (incl. the promotion of NATO). They are not doing charity work for defenseless Europeans, who desperately need "capacity building." If US and German troops practice together, then both sides and NATO as whole benefit. See also this post in the Atlantic Review: German and American Volunteers Support US Soldiers at Landstuhl Military Hospital. Saturday, July 28. 2007Germany's Biggest Bank to Cut Business Ties to IranPosted by Joerg Wolf in International Economics on Saturday, July 28. 2007
This is good news from DW World:
US Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence Stuart Levey had recently paid a visit in person to German banks and other companies to persuade them to stop doing business with Tehran and was successful in making his case to Deutsche Bank. (...)Yes, a lot more needs to be done, especially regarding Siemens. See these posts in the Atlantic Review: • Sudan Divestment Campaign Against Siemens and Others Gets Stronger • Genocide: U.S. calls for more sanctions against Sudan, but Germany sees business opportunities Besides, the German government should not just reduce, but end the Hermes export gurantees for business with Iran. See the Atlantic Review post: WSJ: "How the EU subsidizes trade with Iran" Monday, July 23. 2007Talking to Iran about IraqPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Monday, July 23. 2007
James Dobbins, the Bush administration's first envoy for Afghanistan after Sept. 11., reflects on his experiences with Iranian officlas and gives advice on how to talk to Iran about Iraq. He argues in The Washington Post :
Yet Washington and Tehran still have largely coincident objectives in Iraq, as they did in Afghanistan almost six years ago. Neither wants Iraq to disintegrate. Both want the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to succeed. Indeed, Iran may be the only one of Iraq's neighbors to share that interest with the United States.Related posts in the Atlantic Review: • Afghan Defense Minister Disputes Evidence That Iran Is Arming The Taliban • Bombing Iran or Ignoring Ahmadinejad? (Long discussion with 40+ comments) • Political Science Theories on the Likelihood of War between the US and Iran Thursday, July 19. 2007Bombing Iran or Ignoring Ahmadinejad?Posted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Thursday, July 19. 2007
"The balance in the internal White House debate over Iran has shifted back in favour of military action before President George Bush leaves office in 18 months," writes The Guardian.
This story is taken seriously by Dan Drezner, associate professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy and a small-l libertarian Republican. He wrote an open letter to President Bush "begging" him to "just stop worrying about Iran. Worry about other things instead," like Pakistan's tribal areas, resurgent Al Qaeda and Iraq. Perhaps ignoring Iran is the right way to promote regime change. After all, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s star is fading fast, writes Monica Maggioni in Foreign Policy: Mocking the president has become a pastime not only for rebellious university students, but also members of the establishment and the government itself. (...) The jokes—and who is delivering them—tell the story of a man whose power is on the decline as Iran’s economy collapses around him. Prices for basic goods are skyrocketing, and the government is unable to cope with increasing poverty. Just last month, over 50 Iranian economists sent an open letter excoriating the president’s mismanagement of the economy. (...)In another post, Dan Drezner agrees with this analysis, but worries that Ahmadinejad now has an incentive to pursue policies that antagonize the United States as much as possible -- in Iraq, in Afghanistan, in the Persian Gulf, towards Israel, etc. The U.S. response, according of every Iran-watcher I've heard from regardless of party affiliation -- should be low-key. Here's my problem -- doesn't this approach essentially give Ahmadinejad carte blanche to do whatever he wants in the region?Personal opinon: The US is not a hyperpower that can grant and withdraw a carte blanche. It took European powers some time after the loss of the colonies to realize their limited power. Now the US has to learn that the unipolar moment and the hyperpower feeling are definitely over. The US diplomacy and military only has limited powers. The Bush administration cannot control or stop Iran. Tough rhetoric and empty threats will not force Iran to give up its nuclear program, but will actually save Achmadinejad from internal political pressure, as Monica Maggioni argued in the Foreign Policy article.
« previous page
(Page 3 of 9, totaling 69 entries)
» next page
|
Contact UsEmail Joerg Wolf and Kyle Atwell at:
ar-team AT atlanticreview.org We are available for interviews, and appreciate feedback and suggestions. Subscribe and FollowWelcome!
You are reading the ATLANTIC REVIEW, a Press Digest on Transatlantic Relations combined with commentary and analysis. More about us. Follow Atlantic Review on Facebook or on Twitter. Subscribe to one of our RSS-Feeds or to our newsletter. SponsorSUPPORT THIS SITEBlogrollHot TopicsClick on one of the following links to see all Atlantic Review posts about this topic in a chronological order with the latest post on top:
Afghanistan Anti-Americanism Economics Iran Iraq Merkel Polls Terrorism Click here for the full list of all topics. |
Home - About Us - Newsletter - Transatlantic Relations - US Foreign Policy - Various RSS Feeds Designed for Atlantic Review by Carl.

